Cepal prevé RD cerrará con crecimiento 2.9%
José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, secretario ejecutivo de la Cepal.
SANTO DOMINGO.- República Dominicana cerrará este año con un crecimiento de a penas 2.9%, según la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (Cepal), que atribuye la baja a una menor inversión privada y un menor ritmo del turismo.
José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, secretario ejecutivo de la Cepal, indicó que «la desaceleración con respecto al 5.3% de crecimiento en el 2024 se explicaría por una menor inversión privada- provocada por la incertidumbre a nivel internacional-, una moderación en el ritmo de crecimiento del sector turístico y por la desaceleración económica mundial”.
Agregó que en los primeros 10 meses de 2025 se ha observado una desaceleración en sectores de alto encadenamiento productivo como la manufactura y construcción.
La Cepal estima que en 2026 Republica Dominicana logrará una recuperación en el crecimiento del PIB de un 3.6%.
“Se espera una mejora del dinamismo interno, la recuperación del sector turístico y un contexto internacional más favorable”, manifestó Salazar-Xirinachs durante la presentación en Chile del informe Balance Preliminar de las economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2025.
Recordó que en los últimos años la República Dominicana ha estado sistemáticamente entre las economías que más crecen en toda la región, y por encima del crecimiento promedio de la región.
Asimismo, precisó que no hay un factor único o una receta simple para impulsar y sostener altas tasas de crecimiento. «Si la hubiera, muchos países estarían creciendo como lo está haciendo República Dominicana, y no es eso lo que está pasando», explicó.
Sin embargo, indicó que en la Cepal conocen mucho sobre las condiciones que generan crecimiento y sobre las condiciones que matan al crecimiento o lo afectan negativamente.
«Diversos estudios muestran que hay tres factores centrales asociados con altas tasas de crecimiento: procesos dinámicos de transformación productiva y de incremento de la productividad, una mayor inversión privada y pública y la calidad de la fuerza laboral, lo cual remite a la calidad de la educación y de la formación profesional», subrayó.
Agregó que República Dominicana ha hecho apuestas sectoriales que sin duda han contribuido a dinamizar el crecimiento económico, como el turismo y la manufactura para la exportación. «Ese ha sido una de las claves del éxito de República Dominicana en crecer a las tasas a las que lo ha venido haciendo. Es clave continuar apoyando a estos sectores, así como a nuevos sectores con alto potencial de contribuir a un crecimiento más productivo, inclusivo y sostenible», afirmó.
“Así que, en materia de crecimiento, nuestra recomendación a los países es escalar las PDPs, incluyendo a través de iniciativas clúster, invertir en educación y formación vocacional, elevar la inversión pública y dentro de esto en políticas de ciencia, tecnología e innovación, y fortalecer los ecosistemas empresariales”, señaló.
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